Can Your Business Thrive In a Recession?

Black Friday 2008 has just barely come and gone, and already the pessimistic news for retailers is flowing in. Anecdotal evidence here in Orlando suggests that consumers are scaling back this year, due in part to what many fear could be a long and protracted recession.

It’s so bad, it seems, that even kids are sharing their economy woes with Santa, asking for things like a new job for Dad or money for Mom to buy the house back. (Sounds like Santa’s list is going to be a little tougher to fill this year.)

But is it really all doom-and-gloom? As a small business owner, should the current economic situation make you pull back, or should you use this as an opportunity to forge ahead? Consider this:

  • According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (the official arbiter of economic expansions and contractions), the average post-World War II economic contraction – of which there have been ten – has lasted about ten months.
  • Since the NBER uses (by necessity) historical data, recessions are often officially ‘called’ months after they’ve begun – and sometimes not until they’re actually over.
  • It’s probable that an ‘official’ recession started earlier this year; if it keeps to the average of recent downturns, that would mean it’s perhaps as much as half over.
  • Of course, what matters to you is not whether we’re technically in a recession or not, but how your customers are behaving. If they’re scaling back you may feel you have no recourse but to do the same.

    But perhaps a better course of action – for some businesses, at least – would be to scale UP. Perhaps this is an opportunity to reexamine your business, figure out what works and what doesn’t, and implement a plan that will allow you to grow even if we are in a recession.

    Don’t think it’s wise to try to grow your business during a time of uncertainty? Here are a few reasons you might want to reconsider:

    Competitors will quit. If your business has low barriers to entry and is relatively profitable, your competition may have drastically increased during the recent flush times. (Yes, I’m talking about you, realtors. But also any business that doesn’t require considerable capital – financial or otherwise – to start.) A downturn will almost definitely push some of them out of the market.

    Your remaining competitors may scale back. Watch for signs that your competitors are cutting back on marketing. Don’t see them at the top of the Google results any more? Now may be your chance to supplant them and get the edge.

    Customers behave differently. Earlier this year, an article in the Wall Street Journal noted that the number of consumers who had finalized summer-vacation plans for the year was less than half what it was in the preceding year. For a travel company or tourist destination, that means you need to adjust your messaging and maybe even your target market. Your industry may adjust in other ways, so you need to understand what makes your customers buy NOW, not what made them buy last year.

    There are opportunities to try new things that don’t cost a lot. Not doing email marketing to keep existing customers? Maybe now’s the time to start; it’s inexpensive and effective, and you probably should’ve been doing it long ago. Social media offers another alternative for some businesses. Talk with a consultant or evaluate the options yourself to see if your customers are using social media and if there’s a way for you to engage with them there. (Don’t, however, jump in without a good analysis and a strategy.)

    Businesses who set themselves up to thrive – recession or not – will be in the best position to succeed going forward. Isn’t that what you want for your business?

    Still Using the Yellow Pages?

    I recently came across a really great search marketing article with useful information for local search over at Search Engine Land. The data came from comScore studies commissioned by TMP Directional Marketing comparing this year with last.

    The important bits for small business owners wondering ‘how will customers find me?’:

    • The percentage of people using the print yellow pages as their ‘primary’ source to find location business information has declined roughly 2% in the past year, from 33% to 30%.
    • In 2008, search engines surpassed the YP, with 31% of respondents using them as their primary source.
    • Including Internet Yellow Pages and local search sites, the Internet was the choice of over 60% of respondents.

    But there’s more good news for local search too. A very high percentage of local searchers follow up with some offline activity:

    • 34% do an in-store visit following a local search, and 29% do so after visiting the Internet Yellow Pages.
    • 38% of local searches are followed by a phone call. And over 50% of Internet Yellow Page searches result in a call.

    What Is This Information Telling You?
    If you’re a local business looking for local customers, you simply can’t afford to NOT include the Internet as part of your marketing plan. The days of being able to place an ad in the print yellow pages and forget it are over.

    Google Local Search - May We Help You Find What You’re Looking For?

    David Mihm does a typically fantastic job of explaining the importance of local search in his ‘Ranking in the Local Search Algorithms‘ presentation from the SEMpdx Hot Seat on September 9. (Don’t be frightened by that ‘algorightms’ word; the presentation is really accessible and clear, not a bunch of techno-speak.)

    Particularly noteworthy right up front is the extrapolation that:

    Half a BILLION unique visitors per month search Google with ‘local intent’.

    (Still don’t think local search is important, dear reader?) [Read more →]

    Are You Ready for the Holidays?

    Does Your Business Have a Holiday Marketing Plan?The holidays are coming. Soon. Much sooner than you think if you don’t already have a marketing plan in place.

    With a weak economy and high gas prices, the 2008 holiday shopping season may be a less-than-stellar one for businesses. Forecasts suggest that retailers should anticipate a heavily promotional season, as shoppers continue to seek the best deals. Many consumers - even those who haven’t done so before - are expected to turn to e-commerce sites to minimize the impact of higher gas prices.

    But The Holidays Aren’t Just About Retailers
    The impact of the holiday shopping season on retailers is clear to see. But from a business standpoint, it’s important to understand whether the holidays and the closing of another year offer an opportunity for your business. [Read more →]

    More Reasons to Go Local

    If my recent posts about local search haven’t been enough to convince you of its value, consider this: Local search is increasingly being done not just online via a computer, but also on mobile devices. Getting (and keeping) your local business listings online and up to date can position you to capitalize on this growing trend.

    GOOG-411
    GOOG-411 is a free directory service that allows phone users to connect directly to local businesses. Having a strong presence in the local search results may get your business top billing when someone uses the service.

    For a great, quick demo, check out this video:
    [Read more →]

    Creating an Effective Local Search Profile

    Target Your Customers

    In the previous post, we discussed why it’s important for local companies doing business with local customers to have a local search profile. In this post, we’ll examine the how of putting together an effective profile.

    While the process and the profile itself are fairly straightforward, it’s important to consider a number of underlying factors that can affect your placement within the local search results:
    [Read more →]

    Small Businesses - Go Local!

    Small Businesses - Go Local!Thanks to the ongoing evolution of search engines like Google and Yahoo, and consumers’ ever-growing reliance on the Internet, there has never been a better time for LOCAL businesses targeting LOCAL customers to implement an effective Internet marketing strategy.

    Here’s why: For certain types of searches, the web user clearly is looking for a local business. I’m unlikely, for instance, to want information about a veterinarian in Los Angeles if I live in Orlando. As a result, I’ve learned (as have many consumers) to specify an area when doing a search if I’m interested in seeing only nearby businesses. [Read more →]

    What Is An SEO Website Anyway?

    Search engine optimization (SEO) is one of those buzzwords that many business owners have heard, some vaguely understand, but few really know how to implement — or even know how to make a decision about hiring someone to implement. It’s become almost standard for prospective clients to ask us if we ‘do SEO’, yet the reality of it is that most of those folks don’t really know what they’re asking.

    And, to be honest, if often makes me cringe when a small business wants to optimize their site. [Read more →]

    Would You Want a Logo That Looked Like Someone Else’s?

    My previous post ended with a near-cliché: You have to get noticed to succeed.

    Re-reading that post got me to thinking about how important being noticed is online, too. Too many business owners who wouldn’t think of replicating someone’s store design or logo have no such compunction about using a generic template for their website. [Read more →]

    Stand Out. Be Noticed.

    Here’s another quick story from the early days of my career at the investment management company. This was a while ago, when email didn’t really exist. (Dating myself here, I realize.) We sent a lot of mail.

    Each piece was individually hand-stamped. That’s right, stamps licked and put on each envelope by hand. And not with a single, going-rate postage stamp either. With vintage smaller denomination postage stamps the company purchased through a network of collectors. [Read more →]